Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.004318 0.004543 0.004773 0.005028 0.005302 0.005589 0.005911
2025-10-12 0.003976 0.004312 0.004672 0.005088 0.005559 0.006076 0.006690
2025-10-19 0.003709 0.004102 0.004536 0.005054 0.005658 0.006346 0.007196
2025-10-26 0.003509 0.003942 0.004431 0.005028 0.005744 0.006583 0.007656
2025-11-02 0.003339 0.003800 0.004329 0.004990 0.005801 0.006776 0.008058
2025-11-09 0.003261 0.003757 0.004338 0.005076 0.006004 0.007149 0.008700
2025-11-16 0.003129 0.003641 0.004250 0.005036 0.006042 0.007310 0.009071
2025-11-23 0.003028 0.003557 0.004193 0.005028 0.006115 0.007515 0.009506
2025-11-30 0.002906 0.003440 0.004089 0.004953 0.006096 0.007592 0.009767
2025-12-07 0.002801 0.003339 0.004001 0.004892 0.006088 0.007681 0.010044
2025-12-14 0.002727 0.003275 0.003956 0.004883 0.006147 0.007860 0.010456
2025-12-21 0.002601 0.003138 0.003812 0.004738 0.006012 0.007761 0.010453
2025-12-28 0.002549 0.003098 0.003793 0.004759 0.006109 0.007995 0.010963
2026-01-04 0.002516 0.003079 0.003800 0.004816 0.006258 0.008310 0.011617
2026-01-11 0.002450 0.003015 0.003745 0.004784 0.006277 0.008434 0.011980
2026-01-18 0.002391 0.002959 0.003698 0.004760 0.006305 0.008571 0.012369
2026-01-25 0.002331 0.002899 0.003644 0.004725 0.006315 0.008679 0.012715
2026-02-01 0.002316 0.002900 0.003672 0.004805 0.006497 0.009061 0.013545
2026-02-08 0.002261 0.002843 0.003619 0.004768 0.006500 0.009159 0.013895
2026-02-15 0.002219 0.002803 0.003588 0.004760 0.006547 0.009330 0.014382
2026-02-22 0.002158 0.002737 0.003517 0.004691 0.006497 0.009339 0.014576
2026-03-01 0.002104 0.002678 0.003456 0.004635 0.006463 0.009372 0.014817
2026-03-08 0.002068 0.002643 0.003429 0.004626 0.006504 0.009531 0.015301